Amanani Ezinto Zokwakha KaJanuwari 'Ayanda'

Ngokusho kokuhlaziywa kwe-Associated Builders and Contractors kwe-US Bureau of Labor Statistics' Producer Price Index, amanani okufakwa kokwakhiwa ayanda kulokho okubizwa ngokuthi ukwanda okukhulu kwanyanga zonke kusukela ngo-Agasti ngonyaka odlule.

Amanani akhuphuke ngo-1% ngoJanuwariuma kuqhathaniswa nenyanga edlule, futhi amanani okufakwayo okwakha aphakeme ngo-0.4% kunonyaka odlule. Amanani ezinto zokwakha ezingezona ezokuhlala nawo kubikwa ukuthi aphezulu ngo-0.7%.

Uma sibheka izigaba zamandla, amanani akhuphuke ezigabeni ezimbili kwezithathu ngenyanga edlule. Amanani okufakwa kukaphethiloli ongahluziwe akhuphuke ngo-6.1%, kanti amanani ezinto zamandla ezingacutshungulwanga akhuphuke ngo-3.8%. Amanani kaphethiloli wemvelo anciphe ngo-2.4% ngoJanuwari.

“Amanani ezinto zokwakha akhuphuke ngoJanuwari, aqeda ukwehla kwezinyanga ezintathu ngokulandelana,” kusho i-Chief Economist ye-ABC u-Anirban Basu. “Nakuba lokhu kumelela ukwanda okukhulu kwanyanga zonke kusukela ngo-Agasti 2023, amanani okufakwayo awashintshanga ngonyaka odlule, akhuphuke ngaphansi kwengxenye yephesenti.

"Ngenxa yezindleko zokufaka ezilinganiselwe, iningi labakhi lilindele ukuthi inzuzo yabo ikhule ezinyangeni eziyisithupha ezizayo, ngokusho kwe-ABC's Confidence Index."

Inyanga edlule, uBasu waphawula ukuthi ukuphangwa kwemikhumbi oLwandle Olubomvu kanye nokuphambukiswa kwemikhumbi okuvela eSuez Canal ezungeze iCape of Good Hope kwabangela ukuthi amazinga okuthutha impahla emhlabeni wonke acishe aphindwe kabili emasontweni amabili okuqala ka-2024.

Njengoba ibizwa ngokuthi ukuphazamiseka okukhulu kakhulu kokuhweba komhlaba wonke kusukela kubhubhane lwe-COVID-19, uchungechunge lokuhlinzeka lukhombisa izimpawu zokucindezeleka kulandela lokhu kuhlasela,kufaka phakathi embonini yokugqoka.

Amanani omshini wokugaya insimbi nawo abe nokwenyuka okukhulu ngoJanuwari, eqa ngo-5.4% kusukela ngenyanga edlule. Izinto zensimbi nezensimbi zenyuke ngo-3.5% kanti imikhiqizo yekhonkrithi yenyuka ngo-0.8%. Nokho, izinamathiselo kanye nezivalo azizange zishintshe kule nyanga, kodwa zisephezulu ngo-1.2% ngonyaka.

“Ngaphezu kwalokho, isilinganiso esibanzi se-PPI samanani atholwe yibo bonke abakhiqizi basekhaya bemikhiqizo nezinsizakalo zokugcina sikhuphuke ngo-0.3% ngoJanuwari, okungaphezulu kakhulu kokwenyuka okulindelekile okungu-0.1%,” kusho uBasu.

"Lokhu, kanye nedatha ye-Consumer Price Index eshisa kakhulu kunalokho obekulindelwe ekhishwe ekuqaleni kwaleli sonto, kusikisela ukuthi i-Federal Reserve ingagcina amazinga enzalo ephakanyisiwe isikhathi eside kunalokho obekulindelwe ngaphambilini."

I-Backlog, Ukuzethemba Kwabakhi

Ekuqaleni kwale nyanga, i-ABC iphinde yabika ukuthi i-Construction Backlog Indicator yayo yehle ngezinyanga ezingu-0.2 yaya ezinyangeni ezingu-8.4 ngoJanuwari. Ngokusho kocwaningo lwamalungu e-ABC, olwenziwe kusukela ngoJanuwari 22 kuya kuFebhuwari 4, ukufundwa kwehle ngezinyanga ezingu-0.6 kusukela ngoJanuwari ngonyaka odlule.

Inhlangano ichaza ukuthi ukusilela emuva kukhuphuke kwaya ezinyangeni eziyi-10.9 esigabeni sezimboni ezisindayo, okuwukufundwa okuphezulu kakhulu okurekhodiwe kwaleso sigaba, futhi kuphakeme ngezinyanga eziyi-2.5 kunangoJanuwari 2023. Nokho, ukusilela emuva kwehle unyaka nonyaka ezigabeni zezentengiselwano/zezikhungo kanye nengqalasizinda.

Ukusilela emuva kwembule ukwanda kwezinombolo emikhakheni embalwa, okuhlanganisa:

• imboni Yezimboni Ezinzima, kusukela ku-8.4 kuya ku-10.9;
• isifunda saseNyakatho-mpumalanga, kusukela ku-8.0 kuya ku-8.7;
• isifunda saseNingizimu, kusukela ku-10.7 kuya ku-11.4; kanye
• usayizi wenkampani ongaphezu kwezigidi eziyi-100 zamaRandi, kusukela ku-10.7 kuya ku-13.0.

Ukusilela emuva kwehle emikhakheni eminingana, okuhlanganisa:

• Imboni Yezohwebo Neyezikhungo, kusukela ku-9.1 kuya ku-8.6;
• imboni yengqalasizinda, kusukela ku-7.9 kuya ku-7.3;
• isifunda saseMiddle States, kusukela ku-8.5 kuya ku-7.2;
• isifunda saseNtshonalanga, kusukela ku-6.6 kuya ku-5.3;
• usayizi wenkampani ongaphansi kwamaRandi ayizigidi ezingama-30, kusukela ku-7.4 kuya ku-7.2;
• usayizi wenkampani ongama-$30-50 million, kusukela ku-11.1 kuya ku-9.2; kanye
• usayizi wenkampani ongama-$50-100 million, kusukela ku-12.3 kuya ku-10.9.

Kubikwa ukuthi ukufundwa kwe-Construction Confidence Index kwamazinga okuthengisa kanye nabasebenzi kukhuphuke ngoJanuwari, kuyilapho ukufundwa kwenzuzo kwehla. Lokho kusho ukuthi, konke ukufundwa okuthathu kusalokhu kungaphezu komkhawulo wama-50, okubonisa okulindelwe ukukhula ezinyangeni eziyisithupha ezizayo.