Kuso sonke isifunda saseLatin America, ukukhula kwe-GDP kucishe kufinyelele ku-2%, ngokusho kwe-ECLAC.
UCharles W. Thurston, Intatheli yaseLatin America03.31.25
Isidingo esiqinile sase-Brazil sikapende nezinto zokumboza sikhule saqina ngo-6% ngonyaka ka-2024, okuphinde kwaphindeka kabili ukwenyuka komkhiqizo wezwe lonke. Eminyakeni edlule, imboni ijwayele ukudlula ukusheshisa kwe-GDP ngephesenti elilodwa noma amabili, kodwa ngonyaka odlule, isilinganiso sakhula, ngokombiko wakamuva ka-Abrafati, i-Associação Brasileira dos Fabricantes de Tintas.
"Imakethe yaseBrazil kapende nezingubo zokugqoka iqede u-2024 ngokuthengiswa okurekhodiwe, okudlula zonke izibikezelo ezinikezwa phakathi nonyaka. Ijubane lokuthengisa lihlale liqinile unyaka wonke kuyo yonke imigqa yomkhiqizo, kwenze isamba sevolumu sifike kumalitha ayizigidi eziyizinkulungwane ezingu-1.983 - amalitha ayizigidi ezingu-112 ngaphezu konyaka odlule, okumele ukukhula ngo-6.0%. imboni,” edlulisa u-Fabio Humberg, umqondisi we-Abrafati de comunicação e relações institucionais, ku-imeyili eya ku-CW.
"Ivolumu yango-2024 - cishe yamalitha ayizigidi eziyizinkulungwane ezimbili - imele umphumela omuhle kakhulu ochungechungeni lomlando futhi isivele yenze iBrazil yaba umkhiqizi wesine ngobukhulu emhlabeni, idlula iJalimane," kuphawula u-Humberg.
Ukukhula Kwesifunda Kucishe kube Ifulethi
Kuso sonke isifunda sase-Latin America, ukukhula kwe-GDP kucishe kufinyelele ku-2%, ngokusho kwe-United Nations' Economic Commission for Latin America and the Caribbean (ECLAC). "Ngo-2024, umnotho wesifunda wanda ngesilinganiso esilinganiselwa ku-2.2%, futhi ngo-2025, ukukhula kwesifunda kulindeleke ku-2.4%," kubala abahlaziyi be-ECLAC Economic Development Division ku-Preliminary Overview of the Economies of Latin America and the Caribbean, ekhishwe ngasekupheleni kuka-2024.
"Nakuba izilinganiso zika-2024 no-2025 zingaphezu kwesilinganiso seminyaka eyishumi, ukukhula komnotho kuzohlala kuphansi. Isilinganiso sokukhula konyaka eshumini leminyaka lika-2015-2024 simi ku-1%, sikhomba ku-GDP yomuntu ngamunye ngaleso sikhathi," kuphawula umbiko. Amazwe akulesi sifunda abhekene nalokho i-ECLAC ekubize ngokuthi “ugibe lwamandla aphansi okukhula.”
Ukukhula kwesifunda akulingani, futhi lo mkhuba uyaqhubeka, i-ECLAC iphakamisa. "Ezingeni lesifunda, kokubili eNingizimu Melika naseqenjini elihlanganisa iMexico neMelika Ephakathi, izinga lokukhula lehlile kusukela engxenyeni yesibili ka-2022. ENingizimu Melika, ukwehla kugqama kakhulu lapho iBrazil ingafakiwe, njengoba lelo zwe likhuphula izinga lokukhula kwe-GDP yesifunda ngenxa yobukhulu bayo nokusebenza okungcono; ukukhula kuya ngokuya kuncika kumanothi angasese.
“Lesi silinganiso sokusebenza esintekenteke siphakamisa ukuthi esikhathini esimaphakathi, umnikelo wezomnotho waseLatin America naseCaribbean ekukhuleni komhlaba wonke, ovezwa ngamaphesenti, uzocishe wehle ngesigamu,” kusikisela lo mbiko.
Idatha nezimo zamazwe abalulekile e-Latin America ziyalandela.
Brazil
Ukwenyuka okubukhali kokusetshenziswa kukapende namajazi e-Brazil ngo-2024 kwasekelwa ukukhula komnotho okujwayelekile okungama-3.2% ezweni. Isibikezelo se-GDP sika-2025 sihamba kancane, ngo-2.3%, ngokusho kwe-ECLAC. Izilinganiso zeBhange Lomhlaba ziyefana eBrazil.
Ngengxenye yemboni kapende, ukusebenza kwe-Brazil bekuqinile kuwo wonke amabhodi, okuholwa ingxenye yezimoto. "Kube nokukhula kuyo yonke imigqa yomkhiqizo kusukela embonini kapende nezingubo zokumboza [phakathi kuka-2024], okuphawuleka kakhulu emigqonyeni yezimoto ze-OEM, eza ngemuva kokwenyuka okuqinile kokuthengiswa kwezimoto," kusho u-Abrafati.
Ukuthengiswa kwezimoto ezintsha zase-Brazil okuhlanganisa amabhasi namaloli kukhuphuke ngo-14% ngo-2024 kwafinyelela phezulu eminyakeni engu-10, ngokusho kwe-Associacao Nacional dos Fabricantes de Veiculos Automotores (Anfavea). Ukuthengiswa konyaka wonke kwaba yizimoto eziyizigidi ezingama-2.63 ngo-2024, nokubuyisela izwe endaweni yesishiyagalombili ngobukhulu phakathi kwezimakethe, ngokusho kwenhlangano. (Bheka i-CW 1/24/25).
"Ama-coatings ezimoto nawo akhulise ukuthengiswa kwezimoto ngenani elingu-3.6%, ngenxa yakho kokubili ukunyuka kokudayiswa kwezimoto ezintsha - okunomthelela ekuthengisweni kwezimoto esezisetshenzisiwe kanye nasekusetshenzisweni kwemali ekulungiseni ukulindela lokho kuthengiswa - kanye nezinga eliphezulu lokuzethemba kwabathengi," kusho u-Abrafati.
Opende okuhlobisa nabo baqhubekile nokubonisa ukusebenza okuhle, nevolumu yerekhodi engamalitha ayizigidi eziyizinkulungwane ezingu-1.490 (ekhuphuke ngo-5.9% kusukela ngonyaka odlule), u-Abrafati uyabala. "Esinye sezizathu zalokhu kusebenza kahle kopende bokuhlobisa ukuhlanganiswa komkhuba obheke kubantu abanakekela amakhaya abo, ukuze babenze indawo yokunethezeka, isiphephelo nenhlalakahle, ebilokhu ikhona selokhu kwaqala lolu bhubhane," u-Abrafati uphakamise.
"Ukwengeza kulowo mkhuba ukwanda kokuzethemba kwabathengi, njengoba abathengi bezwa ukuthi banomsebenzi omkhulu kanye nokuvikeleka kwemali engenayo, okuyisihluthulelo sabo sokuthatha isinqumo sokuchitha ijazi elisha likapende endaweni yabo," umongameli omkhulu we-Abrafati uLuiz Cornacchioni wachaza encwadini.
Izembatho zezimboni ziphinde zathumela ukukhula okuqinile, okukhuliswe izinhlelo zokuthuthukiswa zikahulumeni ezaqala ngasekupheleni kuka-2023 ngaphansi kukaMongameli uLuiz Inácio Lula da Silva.
"Okunye okugqamile kwango-2024 kwaba ukusebenza kwezingubo zezimboni, ezikhule ngevolumu ngaphezu kuka-6.3% uma kuqhathaniswa no-2023. Zonke izingxenye zolayini wokumboza izimboni zibonise ukukhula okuphezulu, ikakhulukazi ngenxa yokuthengiswa okuqinile kwezinto ezihlala isikhathi eside zabathengi kanye nentuthuko kumaphrojekthi wengqalasizinda (okugqugquzelwe izici ezifana nonyaka wokhetho nezinkontileka ezinikezwe umkhakha ozimele ezingakakhishwa)," u-Abra.
Ingqalasizinda igxile kakhulu ohlelweni lukahulumeni olusha Lokusheshisa Ukukhula (i-Novo PAC), uhlelo lokutshalwa kwezimali lwamabhiliyoni angama-347 oluhloselwe ingqalasizinda, ukuthuthukiswa, kanye nemiklamo yezemvelo, okuhloswe ngayo ukuthuthukisa zonke izifunda zezwe ngokulinganayo.Bheka i-CW 11/12/24).
"I-Novo PAC ibandakanya ubudlelwano obuqinile phakathi kukahulumeni wobumbano kanye nemboni ezimele, izifundazwe, omasipala, kanye nezinhlangano zomphakathi emzamweni ohlanganyelwe futhi ozibophezele ekuguquleni imvelo, i-neo-industrialization, ukukhula okuhambisana nokufakwa komphakathi, kanye nokusimama kwemvelo," kusho iwebhusayithi kamongameli.
Abadlali abakhulu kunabo bonke emakethe kapende, okokunamathela nezinamatheliso (NAICS CODES: 3255) bahlanganisa laba abahlanu, ngokusho kukaDunn & Bradstreet:
• I-Oswaldo Crus Quimica Industria e Comercio, ezinze eGuarulhos, esifundazweni saseSao Paulo, ngokuthengiswa konyaka kwezigidi ezingu-$271.85.
• I-Henkel, ezinze e-Itapevi, esifundazweni sase-Sao Paulo, enezigidi ezingu-$140.69 ezithengiswayo.
• I-Killing S/A Tintas e Adesivos, ezinze e-Novo Hamburgo, e-Rio Grande Do Sul state, inendali engu-$129.14 million.
• U-Renner Sayerlack, ozinze e-Sao Paulo, othengisa izigidi ezingu-111.3 zamaRandi.
• U-Sherwin-Williams do Brasil Industria e Comercio, ozinze e-Taboao Da Serra, esifundazweni sase-Sao Paulo, ngokuthengiswa kwezigidi ezingu-$93.19.
E-Argentina
I-Argentina, engomakhelwane beBrazil phakathi kwamazwe aseSouthern Cone, ilungele ukubuyisela ukukhula okuqinile kwe-4.3% kulo nyaka ngemuva kokuncishiswa okungama-3.2% ngonyaka wezi-2024, okuwumsebenzi omkhulu wokuqondisa umnotho kaMongameli uJavier Milei. Lokhu kuqagela kwe-GDP okwenziwe yi-ECLAC kunethemba elincane lokuthi ukubikezela kwe-International Monetary Fund ngezinga lokukhula elingu-5% e-Argentina ngo-2025.
Isikhathi sokukhula kabusha kwezindlu e-Argentina kulindeleke ukuthi sigcwale isidingo samapende wezakhiwo kanye nama-coatings (Bona i-CW 9/23/24). Olunye ushintsho olubalulekile e-Argentina ukuphela kokukhushulwa kwerenti nokulawula isikhathi sokuqashisa emakethe yezindlu zokuhlala. Ngo-Agasti 2024, u-Milei wakhipha uMthetho Wokuqashisa ka-2020 owasungulwa ngowokuqala.
ukuphathwa kwesokunxele.
Ukulungisa kabusha amafulethi abuyele emakethe evulekile kungafakazela ukukhuphuka kwezingubo zokwakhiwa kwenani elicishe libe yizigidi ezingama- $ 650 ngasekupheleni kuka-2027 ngemuva kokukhula ngesilinganiso sokukhula sonyaka esihlanganisiwe (CAGR) esingaba ngu-4.5% phakathi nenkathi yeminyaka emihlanu phakathi kuka-2022 no-2027, ngokocwaningo olwenziwe yi-IndustrialARC.
Izinkampani ezinkulu kakhulu zikapende nezingubo e-Argentina, nge-D&B ngayinye, zifaka:
• U-Akzo Nobel Argentina, ozinze e-Garín, esifundazweni sase-Buenos Aires, ukuthengisa akudalulwanga.
• I-Ferrum SA de Ceramica y Metalurgia, ezinze e-Avellaneda, e-Buenos Aires, ngokuthengiswa kwezigidi ezingu-$116.06 ngonyaka.
• I-Chemotecnica, ezinze eCarlos Spegazzini, e-Buenos Aires, ukuthengisa akudalulwanga.
• I-Mapei Argentina, ezinze e-Escobar, e-Buenos Aires, ukuthengisa akudalulwanga.
• U-Akapol, ozinze e-Villa Ballester, e-Buenos Aires, ukuthengisa akudalulwanga.
Colombia
Ukuthola ukukhula kabusha e-Colombia kubikezelwe ngo-2025 ku-2.6% uma kuqhathaniswa no-1.8% ngo-2024, ngokusho kwe-ECLAC. Lokhu kuzobonisa kahle ngokuyinhloko ku-
ingxenye yezakhiwo.
"Isidingo sasekhaya sizoba umshayeli oyinhloko wokukhula eminyakeni emibili ezayo. Ukusetshenziswa kwezimpahla, okubone ukubuyiswa kwengxenye ngo-2024, kuzokhula kakhulu ngo-2025 ngenxa yezinga lenzalo eliphansi kanye nemali engenayo yangempela," kubhala abahlaziyi be-BBVA ngombono ka-March 2025 ngezwe.
Ukuthuthukiswa kwengqalasizinda, osekuqala ukudlondlobala, kuzophinde kukhuphule isidingo sezingubo zezimboni. Amaphrojekthi amakhulu, njengesikhumulo sezindiza esisha saseCartegena, kulindeleke ukuthi aqale ukwakhiwa engxenyeni yokuqala ka-2025.
"Ukugxila kukahulumeni engqalasizinda, okuhlanganisa ezokuthutha, amandla kanye nengqalasizinda yezenhlalakahle (izikole nezibhedlela), kusazohlala kuyinsika yesu lomnotho.Amaphrojekthi abalulekile ahlanganisa ukunwetshwa kwemigwaqo, izinhlelo ze-metro kanye nokuthuthukiswa kwamachweba," kubika abahlaziyi be-Gleeds.
"Umkhakha wezemisebenzi yomphakathi uqhubeke nokumangala ngokukhula ngo-13.9% kwikota yesibili ka-2024 ochungechungeni lwawo olulungiswe ngezikhathi ezithile, kulandela amakota amahlanu alandelanayo okuncipha. Nokho, usalokhu ungowomkhakha osasilela kakhulu emnothweni wonke, umi ngo-36% ngaphansi kwamazinga angaphambi kobhubhane," kwengeza abahlaziyi be-Gleeds.
Abadlali abakhulu emakethe njengoba bebalwa nge-D&B yilaba abalandelayo:
• I-Compania Global de Pinturas, ezinze e-Medellin, emnyangweni we-Antioquia, eno-$219.33 wezigidi ekuthengisweni konyaka.
• I-Invesa, ezinze e-Envigado, e-Antioquia, eno-$117.62 wezigidi ezithengiswayo.
• I-Coloquimica, ezinze e-La Estrella, e-Antioquia, ngokuthengiswa kwezigidi ezingu-68.16 zamaRandi.
• I-Sun Chemical Colombia, ezinze e-Medellin, e-Antioquia. ngo-$62.97 wezigidi ezithengiswayo.
• I-PPG Industries Colombia, ezinze e-Itagui, e-Antioquia, ngokuthengiswa kwezigidi ezingu-$55.02.
Paraguay
Phakathi kwamazwe aseLatin America okulindeleke ukuthi akhule ngokushesha okukhulu yiParaguay, okubhekeke ukuthi ikhulise i-GDP yayo ngo-4.2% kulo nyaka, kulandela ukukhula ngo-3.9% ngonyaka odlule, kubika i-ECLAC.
"I-GDP eParaguay ilinganiselwa ku-$45 billion ekupheleni kuka-2024 ngokwemibandela yentengo yamanje ye-GDP. Uma sibheka ngaphambi kuka-2025, ukuqagela kusikisela ukuthi isilinganiso se-GDP ka-2025 saseParaguay singaba ama-dollar ayizigidi eziyizinkulungwane ezingu-46.3. Umnotho waseParaguay ukhule ngesilinganiso sokukhula konyaka esingu-6.1% eminyakeni emine edlule, i-Uruguay ikleliswe endaweni enkulu yomnotho wezwe laseMelika," kusho umbiko. Economics, abahlaziyi abazinze eLondon.
Ukukhiqiza okuncane kuyaqhubeka nokuba yingxenye enkulu yomnotho waseParaguay. "I-BCP [iBhange Elikhulu laseParaguay] ilinganisela ukuthi i-[2025] izochuma embonini yaseParaguay, kugcizelelwa umkhakha we-maquila (ukuhlanganiswa nokuqedwa kwemikhiqizo). Umbono wemboni iyonke ukukhula ngo-5%" kubika i-H2Foz, ngoDisemba 2024.
Ukutshalwa kwezimali kwingqalasizinda kuzophinde kunikeze amandla ukukhiqiza eParaguay.
"I-OPEC Fund for International Development (ngoJanuwari) yamemezela ukuthi inikeza imali ebolekiwe eyizigidi ezingu-50 zamaRandi eParaguay ukuze ixhase ngezimali ukulungiswa, ukuthuthukiswa nokugcinwa kwe-National Route PY22 kanye nemigwaqo yokufinyelela emnyangweni osenyakatho weParaguay waseConcepción. Ixhaswe ngemali mboleko eyizigidi ezingu-135 evela ku-CAF (i-Development Bank yase-Latin America) ne-Latin America Economy," kubika i-Economy.
Imigwaqo nokwakhiwa kwamahhotela amasha kuzosiza iParaguay yandise imboni yayo yezokuvakasha, ekhula ngokushesha, enezivakashi ezingaphezu kwezigidi ezingu-2.2, ngokombiko ovela kuNobhala Wezokuvakasha waseParaguay (Senatur). "Imininingwane, ehlanganiswe ngokubambisana ne-Directorate of Migration, iveza ukwanda okungama-22% kwezivakashi ezifikayo uma kuqhathaniswa no-2023," kubika i-Resumen de Noticias (RSN).
I-Caribbean
Njengesifunda esingaphansi, i-Caribbean kulindeleke ukuthi ibonise ukukhula ngo-11% kulo nyaka, uma kuqhathaniswa no-5.7% ngo-2024, ngokusho kwe-ECLAC (Bheka ishadi lokuqagela le-ECLAC GDP). Emazweni ayi-14 athathwa njengengxenye yesifunda, i-Guyana iboniswe ukukhombisa ukukhula okungavamile kwama-41.5% kulo nyaka, uma kuqhathaniswa no-13.6% ngo-2024, ngenxa yokwanda ngokushesha kwemboni kawoyela ogwini lapho.
IBhange Lomhlaba libika ukuthi imithombo kawoyela negesi yaseGuyana “yimiphongolo elingana nowoyela engaphezu kwezigidi eziyizinkulungwane ezingu-11,2, kuhlanganise nemithombo yegesi yemvelo elinganiselwa ezigidini eziyizinkulungwane ezingu-17.” Izinkampani eziningi zikawoyela zamazwe omhlaba ziyaqhubeka nokutshala imali enkulu, okuholele ekuqaleni kuka-2022 kokujaha ukukhiqizwa kukawoyela ezweni.
Umphumela wemali engenayo uzosiza ukudala isidingo esisha sawo wonke amasegimenti kapende nama-coatings. "Yize, ngokomlando, i-GDP yaseGuyana yomuntu ngamunye ibiphakathi kweziphansi kakhulu eNingizimu Melika, ukukhula komnotho okumangalisayo kusukela ngo-2020, okulinganiselwa ku-42.3% kule minyaka emithathu edlule, kwenze i-GDP yomuntu ngamunye yaba ngaphezu kwama- $ 18,199 ngo-2022, isuka ku- $ 6,477 ngo-2019," Umhlaba.
Imibiko yasebhange.
Abadlali bakapende abakhulu kunabo bonke endaweni engaphansi, ngokosesho lwe-Google AI, bahlanganisa:
• Abadlali Besifunda: I-Lanco Paints & Coatings, i-Berger, i-Harris, i-Lee Wind, i-Penta, ne-Royal.
• Izinkampani Zamazwe Ngamazwe: I-PPG, i-Sherwin-Williams, i-Axalta, i-Benjamin Moore ne-Comex.
• Ezinye izinkampani eziphawulekayo zifaka i-RM Lucas Co. kanye ne-Caribbean Paint Factory Aruba.
eVenezuela
I-Venezuela ibilokhu iyisizinda sezepolitiki eLatin America iminyaka eminingi, naphezu komcebo wezwe kawoyela negesi, ngaphansi kokubusa kukaMongameli uNicolás Maduro. I-ECLAC ibikezela ukuthi umnotho uzokhula ngo-6.2% kulo nyaka, uma kuqhathaniswa no-3.1% ngo-2024.
Kungenzeka ukuthi abaphathi bakaTrump baphonsa amanzi abandayo kulokho kubikezelwa kokukhula kwesimemezelo sasekupheleni kukaMashi sokuthi iMelika izobeka intela yokungenisa u-25% kunoma yiliphi izwe elingenisa uwoyela waseVenezuela, olinganiselwa ku-90% womnotho wezwe.
Lesi simemezelo sentela size ngemuva kokusulwa kwelayisensi yakwaChevron ngoMashi 4 ukuthola nokukhiqiza uwoyela kuleli. "Uma lesi sinyathelo sinwetshwa kwezinye izinkampani - okuhlanganisa i-Repsol yaseSpain, i-Eni yase-Italy, ne-Maurel & Prom yaseFrance - umnotho waseVenezuela ungase ubhekane nokwehla okukhulu kokukhiqizwa kukawoyela ongahluziwe, ukuncipha kokusatshalaliswa kukaphethiloli, imakethe yokuhwebelana kwamazwe angaphandle ebuthaka, ukwehla kwamandla emali, kanye nokukhuphuka kwamandla emali," kubala i-Caracas Chronicles.
Le nhlangano yezindaba icaphuna ushintsho lwakamuva lwemibono oluvela kwa-Ecoanalítica, “oluhlongoza ukwehla ngo-2% kuya ku-3% ku-GDP ekupheleni kuka-2025, nokwehla ngo-20% emkhakheni kawoyela.” Abahlaziyi bayaqhubeka: “Zonke izimpawu zibonisa ukuthi unyaka ka-2025 uzoba nzima nakakhulu kunalokho obekulindelwe ekuqaleni, nokwehla okukhulu kokukhiqizwa kwesikhashana kanye nokwehla kwemali etholwayo kawoyela.”
Phakathi kwabangenisa uwoyela waseVenezuela abahamba phambili yiChina, okwathi ngo-2023 yathenga u-68% wamafutha athunyelwa ngaphandle yiVenezuela, ngokohlaziyo lwango-2024 olwenziwa yi-US Energy Information Administration, kubika i-EuroNews. “ISpain, i-India, iRussia, iSingapore neVietnam nazo ziphakathi kwamazwe athola uwoyela eVenezuela, kusho umbiko,” kubika le nhlangano yezindaba.
"Kodwa ngisho ne-United States - naphezu kokujeziswa kwayo ngokumelene neVenezuela - ithenga uwoyela kulelo zwe. NgoJanuwari, i-United States yathenga imiphongolo kawoyela eyizigidi ezingu-8.6 evela eVenezuela, ngokusho kweCensus Bureau, emiphongolweni elinganiselwa ezigidini ezingu-202 engeniswe ngale nyanga," kusho i-EuroNews.
Ngaphakathi, umnotho usagxile ekuthuthukisweni kwezindlu, okufanele kwenyuse isidingo samapende ezakhiwo kanye nama-coatings. NgoMeyi 2024, uhulumeni waseVenezuela wagubha iminyaka engu-13 yohlelo lwayo lweGreat Housing Mission (GMVV), egubha umuzi wezigidi ezingu-4.9 olethwe emindenini yabasebenzi, kubika i-Venezuelanlysis. Lolu hlelo lunomgomo wokwakha amakhaya angu-7 million ngo-2030.
Nakuba abatshalizimali baseNtshonalanga bengase babe namahloni ngokwanda kokuchayeka eVenezuela, amabhange ahlukahlukene asekela amaphrojekthi wengqalasizinda, okuhlanganisa nebhange Lokuthuthukisa laseLatin America kanye neCaribbean (CAF).
Isikhathi sokuthumela: May-08-2025
