Kuyo yonke indawo yaseLatin America, ukukhula kwe-GDP cishe kucishe kube ngaphezu kuka-2%, ngokusho kwe-ECLAC.
UCharles W. Thurston, Intatheli yaseLatin America03.31.25
Isidingo esinamandla saseBrazil sezinto zokupenda nezembozo sikhule ngo-6% ngo-2024, empeleni siphindwe kabili ukwanda komkhiqizo wezwe lonke. Eminyakeni edlule, imboni ivame ukwedlula ukusheshisa kwe-GDP ngephuzu elilodwa noma amabili ephesenti, kodwa ngonyaka odlule, isilinganiso sashesha, ngokusho kombiko wakamuva we-Abrafati, i-Associação Brasileira dos Fabricantes de Tintas.
“Imakethe yopende nezingubo zaseBrazil yaphela ngo-2024 ngokuthengiswa okurekhodiwe, okwedlula zonke izibikezelo ezinikezwe phakathi nonyaka. Ijubane lokuthengisa lihlale liqinile unyaka wonke kuyo yonke imigqa yemikhiqizo, liqhubekisela phambili inani eliphelele lafika kumalitha ayizigidi eziyi-1.983 — amalitha ayizigidi eziyi-112 ngaphezu konyaka odlule, okumele ukukhula okungu-6.0% — okungaphezu ngisho nesilinganiso esingu-5.7% sango-2021, unyaka obhekwa njengongabalulekile embonini,” kusho uFabio Humberg, umqondisi we-Abrafati de comunicação e relações institucionais, ku-imeyili eya ku-CW.
“Umthamo ka-2024 — ocishe ube amalitha ayizigidi eziyizinkulungwane ezimbili — umelela umphumela omuhle kakhulu ochungechungeni lomlando futhi usuvele wenze iBrazil yaba umkhiqizi wesine ngobukhulu emhlabeni, idlula iJalimane,” kuphawula uHumberg.
Ukukhula Kwesifunda Kucishe Kube Phansi
Kuyo yonke indawo yaseLatin America, ukukhula kwe-GDP cishe kucishe kube ngaphezu kuka-2%, ngokusho kwe-United Nations' Economic Commission for Latin America and the Caribbean (ECLAC). “Ngo-2024, umnotho wesifunda wanda ngo-2.2% olinganiselwa, kanti ngo-2025, ukukhula kwesifunda kulindeleke ku-2.4%,” kusho abahlaziyi be-ECLAC Economic Development Division ku-Preliminary Overview of the Economies of Latin America and the Caribbean, eyakhishwa ngasekupheleni kuka-2024.
“Ngenkathi izilinganiso zika-2024 no-2025 zingaphezu kwesilinganiso seminyaka eyishumi, ukukhula komnotho kuzohlala kuphansi. Ukukhula okumaphakathi konyaka weminyaka eyishumi ka-2015-2024 kumi ku-1%, okukhomba ukungalingani kwe-GDP ngomuntu ngamunye phakathi naleso sikhathi,” kusho umbiko. Amazwe alesi sifunda abhekene nalokho i-ECLAC ekubize ngokuthi “ugibe lomthamo ophansi wokukhula.”
Ukukhula kwezifunda ezingaphansi kwesifunda bekungalingani, futhi lokhu kuyaqhubeka, kusho i-ECLAC. “Ezingeni lezifunda ezingaphansi kwesifunda, kokubili eNingizimu Melika kanye naseqenjini elihlanganisa iMexico neMelika Ephakathi, amazinga okukhula ehlile kusukela engxenyeni yesibili ka-2022. ENingizimu Melika, ukwehla kwezomnotho kusobala kakhulu uma iBrazil ingafakiwe, njengoba lelo lizwe liphakamisa izinga lokukhula kwe-GDP yesifunda ngenxa yobukhulu balo kanye nokusebenza okungcono; ukukhula kuncike kakhulu ekusetshenzisweni kwangasese,” kusho umbiko.
“Lokhu kusebenza okubuthakathaka okulinganiselwayo kusikisela ukuthi esikhathini esimaphakathi, umnikelo womnotho waseLatin America naseCaribbean ekukhuleni komhlaba, ovezwe ngamaphuzu amaphesenti, uzoncipha cishe ngesigamu,” kusho umbiko.
Idatha kanye nemibandela yamazwe abalulekile eLatin America kuyalandela.
IBrazil
Ukwanda okukhulu kokusetshenziswa kopende nezingubo zokugqoka eBrazil ngo-2024 kusekelwe ukukhula komnotho jikelele okungu-3.2% ezweni. Isibikezelo se-GDP sika-2025 sihamba kancane, ku-2.3%, ngokusho kwezilinganiso ze-ECLAC. Izilinganiso zeBhange Lomhlaba ziyafana naseBrazil.
Ngokwesigaba semboni yopende, ukusebenza kweBrazil bekuqinile kuwo wonke amabhodi, kuholwa isigaba sezimoto. “Bekukhona ukukhula kuyo yonke imigqa yemikhiqizo evela embonini yopende nopende [ngo-2024], okuphawuleka kakhulu ekugqokeni kwezimoto ze-OEM, okuza ngemuva kokwanda okukhulu kokuthengiswa kwezimoto,” kusho u-Abrafati.
Ukuthengiswa kwezimoto ezintsha eBrazil okuhlanganisa amabhasi namaloli kukhuphuke ngo-14% ngo-2024 kwafinyelela ezingeni eliphezulu leminyaka eyi-10, ngokusho kwe-Associacao Nacional dos Fabricantes de Veiculos Automotores (Anfavea). Ukuthengiswa konyaka wonke kwaba yizimoto eziyizigidi ezingu-2.63 ngo-2024, okubuyisela izwe ezingeni lesishiyagalombili ngobukhulu emhlabeni wonke phakathi kwezimakethe, ngokusho kwenhlangano. (Bheka i-CW 1/24/25).
“Izimbozo zokulungisa izimoto nazo zibone ukuthengiswa kukhula ngesilinganiso esingu-3.6%, ngenxa yokwanda kokuthengiswa kwezimoto ezintsha – okunomthelela ekuthengisweni kwezimoto ezisetshenzisiwe kanye nasekusetshenzisweni kwemali ekulungisweni okulindelekile kulezo zintengiso – kanye nezinga eliphezulu lokuzethemba kwabathengi,” kuphawula u-Abrafati.
Upende wokuhlobisa nawo uqhubeke nokubonisa ukusebenza okuhle kakhulu, ngomthamo oqopha umlando wamalitha ayizigidigidi eziyi-1.490 (okhuphuke ngo-5.9% kunonyaka odlule), kubala u-Abrafati. “Esinye sezizathu zalowo msebenzi omuhle kupende wokuhlobisa ukuhlanganiswa komkhuba wabantu abanakekela amakhaya abo, ukuze bawenze indawo yenduduzo, isiphephelo kanye nenhlalakahle, ebilokhu ikhona kusukela kubhubhane,” kusikisela u-Abrafati.
“Okwenezela kulowo mkhuba ukwanda kokuzethemba kwabathengi, njengoba abathengi benomuzwa wokuthi banomsebenzi omkhulu kanye nokuvikeleka kwemali engenayo, okuyinto ebalulekile kubo ekunqumeni ukuchitha imali eningi endaweni yabo,” kuchaza umongameli omkhulu wase-Abrafati uLuiz Cornacchioni encwadini.
Izembozo zezimboni nazo zibonise ukukhula okunamandla, okwakhuliswa izinhlelo zokuthuthukiswa kukahulumeni ezaqalwa ngasekupheleni kuka-2023 ngaphansi kukaMongameli uLuiz Inácio Lula da Silva.
“Okunye okuvelele ngo-2024 kwaba ukusebenza kwezimbozo zezimboni, okwakhula ngobuningi ngaphezu kuka-6.3% uma kuqhathaniswa no-2023. Zonke izingxenye zomugqa wezimbozo zezimboni zibonise ukukhula okuphezulu, ikakhulukazi ngenxa yokuthengiswa okunamandla kwezinto eziqinile zabathengi kanye nentuthuko kumaphrojekthi engqalasizinda (okushukunyiswa yizici ezifana nonyaka wokhetho kanye nezinkontileka ezinikezwe umkhakha ozimele),” kuphawula u-Abrafati.
Ingqalasizinda iyinto ebalulekile ekugxilwe kuyo ohlelweni lukahulumeni lwe-New Growth Acceleration Program (Novo PAC), uhlelo lokutshala imali olubiza amaRandi ayizigidigidi ezingu-347 oluhlose ingqalasizinda, intuthuko, kanye namaphrojekthi ezemvelo, ahlose ukuthuthukisa zonke izifunda zezwe ngokulinganayo (Bheka i-CW 11/12/24).
“I-Novo PAC ihilela ukubambisana okuqinile phakathi kukahulumeni wobumbano kanye nomkhakha ozimele, izifundazwe, omasipala, kanye nezinhlangano zomphakathi emzamweni ohlanganyelwe nozibophezele ekuguqukeni kwemvelo, ukuthuthukiswa kwezimboni ezintsha, ukukhula kanye nokufakwa komphakathi, kanye nokusimama kwemvelo,” kusho iwebhusayithi kamongameli.
Abadlali abakhulu emakethe yopende, izembozo kanye nezinamathiselo (ama-NAICS CODES: 3255) bafaka laba abahlanu, ngokusho kukaDunn noBradstreet:
• I-Oswaldo Crus Quimica Industria e Comercio, ezinze eGuarulhos, esifundazweni saseSao Paulo, ngokuthengiswa konyaka kwezigidi ezingu-$271.85.
• IHenkel, ese-Itapevi, esifundazweni saseSao Paulo, inentengo ebiza u-$140.69 million.
• I-Killing S/A Tintas e Adesivos, ezinze e-Novo Hamburgo, e-Rio Grande Do Sul state, inendali engu-$129.14 million.
• I-Renner Sayerlack, eseSao Paulo, inentengo ethengiswayo engu-$111.3 million.
• U-Sherwin-Williams do Brasil Industria e Comercio, ozinze e-Taboao Da Serra, esifundazweni sase-Sao Paulo, ngokuthengiswa kwezigidi ezingu-$93.19.
I-Argentina
I-Argentina, engumakhelwane weBrazil phakathi kwamazwe aseSouthern Cone, ikulungele ukubuyisa ukukhula okunamandla okungu-4.3% kulo nyaka ngemuva kokwehla okungu-3.2% ngo-2024, ikakhulukazi ngenxa yesiqondiso somnotho esinobudlova sikaMongameli uJavier Milei. Lokhu kubikezelwa kwe-GDP yi-ECLAC akunathemba kangako kunesibikezelo se-International Monetary Fund sezinga lokukhula elingu-5% e-Argentina ngo-2025.
Isikhathi sokukhula kabusha kwezindlu e-Argentina kulindeleke ukuthi sikhulise isidingo sopende nezingubo zokwakha (Bheka i-CW 9/23/24). Ushintsho olubalulekile e-Argentina ukuphela kokukhushulwa kwerenti kanye nokulawulwa kwesikhathi sokuqasha emakethe yezindlu zokuhlala. Ngo-Agasti 2024, uMilei walahla uMthetho Wokuqasha ka-2020 owasungulwa yilowo owayeyilungu le-
ukuphathwa kwesobunxele.
Ukuvuselela amafulethi asebuyele emakethe evulekile kungaba nomthelela omkhulu ekufakweni kwezingubo zokwakha kuze kufike cishe ku-$650 million ekupheleni kuka-2027 ngemuva kokukhula ngesilinganiso sokukhula sonyaka esihlanganisiwe (CAGR) esingaba ngu-4.5% phakathi nenkathi yeminyaka emihlanu phakathi kuka-2022 no-2027, ngokusho kocwaningo lwe-IndustryARC.
Izinkampani ezinkulu kakhulu zokupenda nokufaka upende e-Argentina, ngokwe-D&B, zifaka:
• U-Akzo Nobel Argentina, ozinze e-Garín, esifundazweni sase-Buenos Aires, ukuthengisa akudalulwanga.
• I-Ferrum SA de Ceramica y Metalurgia, ezinze e-Avellaneda, e-Buenos Aires, ngokuthengiswa kwezigidi ezingu-$116.06 ngonyaka.
• I-Chemotecnica, eseCarlos Spegazzini, eBuenos Aires, ukuthengiswa akukadalulwa.
• I-Mapei Argentina, ezinze e-Escobar, e-Buenos Aires, ukuthengisa akudalulwanga.
• U-Akapol, ozinze e-Villa Ballester, e-Buenos Aires, ukuthengisa akudalulwanga.
I-Colombia
Ukukhula okuthuthukayo eColombia kubikezelwe ngo-2025 ngo-2.6% uma kuqhathaniswa no-1.8% ngo-2024, ngokusho kwe-ECLAC. Lokhu kuzobonisa okuhle kakhulu
ingxenye yezakhiwo.
"Isidingo sasekhaya sizoba yisona esiyinhloko esibangela ukukhula eminyakeni emibili ezayo. Ukusetshenziswa kwezimpahla, okwathola ukusimama kancane ngo-2024, kuzokhula kakhulu ngo-2025 ngenxa yezinga lenzalo eliphansi kanye nemali engenayo ephezulu yangempela," kubhala abahlaziyi be-BBVA embonweni kaMashi 2025 wezwe.
Ukuthuthukiswa kwengqalasizinda, okuqala ukuchuma, kuzophakamisa nesidingo sezingubo zokugqoka zezimboni. Amaphrojekthi amakhulu, njengesikhumulo sezindiza esisha saseCartegena, ahlelelwe ukuqala ukwakhiwa phakathi nengxenye yokuqala ka-2025.
“Ukugxila kukahulumeni engqalasizinda, okuhlanganisa ezokuthutha, amandla kanye nengqalasizinda yezenhlalo (izikole nezibhedlela), kuzohlala kuyinsika eyinhloko yesu lezomnotho. Amaphrojekthi abalulekile afaka phakathi ukunwetshwa kwemigwaqo, izinhlelo ze-metro kanye nokuvuselelwa kwamachweba,” kubika abahlaziyi kwa-Gleeds.
"Umkhakha wemisebenzi yomphakathi uqhubeke nokumangaza ngokukhula ngo-13.9% kwikota yesibili ka-2024 ochungechungeni lwawo oluhlelwe ngokwezinkathi, kulandela ukuncipha kwekota ezinhlanu ezilandelanayo. Kodwa-ke, usalokhu ungumkhakha osilele kakhulu emnothweni wonke, umi ngo-36% ngaphansi kwamazinga angaphambi kobhubhane," kusho abahlaziyi beGleeds.
Abadlali abakhulu emakethe njengoba bebekwe yi-D&B yilaba abalandelayo:
• I-Compania Global de Pinturas, eseMedellin, emnyangweni we-Antioquia, inentengo yonyaka engu-$219.33 million.
• I-Invesa, ese-Envigado, e-Antioquia, inentengo ebiza u-$117.62 million.
• I-Coloquimica, ezinze e-La Estrella, e-Antioquia, ngokuthengiswa kwezigidi ezingu-68.16 zamaRandi.
• I-Sun Chemical Colombia, eseMedellin, e-Antioquia. inentengo eyizigidi ezingama-$62.97.
• I-PPG Industries Colombia, ese-Itagui, e-Antioquia, inentengo ebiza u-$55.02 million.
I-Paraguay
Phakathi kwamazwe aseLatin America okulindeleke ukuthi akhule ngokushesha kakhulu kukhona iParaguay, okulindelwe ukuthi yandise i-GDP yayo ngo-4.2% kulo nyaka, kulandela ukukhula okungu-3.9% ngonyaka odlule, kubika i-ECLAC.
“I-GDP eParaguay ilinganiselwa ku-$45 billion ekupheleni kuka-2024 ngokwemigomo yamanje ye-GDP. Uma sibheka phambili ku-2025, ukuqagela kusikisela ukuthi ukuqagela kwe-GDP yaseParaguay ka-2025 kungaba ngu-$46.3 billion. Umnotho waseParaguay ukhule ngesilinganiso sokukhula sonyaka esingu-6.1% eminyakeni emine edlule futhi ubekwe endaweni ye-15 ngobukhulu eMelika, ngaphambi kwe-Uruguay,” kubika i-World Economics, abahlaziyi baseLondon.
Ukukhiqiza okuncane kuyaqhubeka nokuba yingxenye enkulu yomnotho waseParaguay. “I-BCP [iBhange Elikhulu laseParaguay] ilinganisela ukuthi [2025] izochuma embonini eParaguay, kugxilwe kakhulu emkhakheni we-maquila (ukuhlanganiswa nokuqedwa kwemikhiqizo). Umbono womkhakha wonke ukukhula okungu-5%” kubika i-H2Foz, ngoDisemba 2024.
Ukutshalwa kwezimali kwengqalasizinda kuzokwenza kube lula ukukhiqiza eParaguay.
“I-OPEC Fund for International Development (ngoJanuwari) yamemezela ukuthi izonikeza iParaguay imali mboleko engu-$50 million ukuze ixhase ngokuxhasa ukulungiswa, ukuthuthukiswa kanye nokugcinwa kweNational Route PY22 kanye nemigwaqo yokufinyelela emnyangweni weConcepción osenyakatho yeParaguay. Ixhaswe ngokuxhasa ngemali mboleko engu-$135 million evela ku-CAF (Development Bank of Latin America and the Caribbean),” kubika iMiddle East Economy.
Imigwaqo kanye nokwakhiwa kwamahhotela amasha kuzosiza iParaguay ukuthi yandise imboni yayo yezokuvakasha, ekhula ngokushesha, ngezivakashi ezingaphezu kwezigidi ezingu-2.2, ngokusho kombiko ovela kwi-Paraguayan Secretariat of Tourism (Senatur). “Idatha, ehlanganiswe ngokubambisana ne-Directorate of Migration, yembula ukwanda okukhulu okungu-22% kwezivakashi uma kuqhathaniswa no-2023,” kubika i-Resumen de Noticias (RSN).
ICaribbean
Njengesifunda esincane, iCaribbean kulindeleke ukuthi ibonise ukukhula okungu-11% kulo nyaka, uma kuqhathaniswa no-5.7% ngo-2024, ngokusho kwe-ECLAC (Bheka ishadi lokubikezela i-ECLAC GDP). Emazweni angu-14 abhekwa njengengxenye yesifunda esincane, iGuyana iboniswe ukukhula okungavamile okungu-41.5% kulo nyaka, uma kuqhathaniswa no-13.6% ngo-2024, ngenxa yokukhula okusheshayo kwemboni kawoyela olwandle lapho.
IBhange Lomhlaba libika ukuthi izinsiza zikawoyela negesi zaseGuyana “zingaphezu kwezigidigidi eziyi-11.2 zama-barrel alingana nowoyela, okuhlanganisa nezindawo zokugcina igesi yemvelo ezilinganiselwa ku-17 trillion.” Izinkampani eziningi zikawoyela zomhlaba wonke ziyaqhubeka nokwenza utshalomali olukhulu, okwaholela ekuqaleni kokushesha kokukhiqizwa kukawoyela ezweni ngo-2022.
Ukwanda kwemali engenayo okubangelwa yilokhu kuzosiza ekudaleni isidingo esisha sazo zonke izingxenye zopende nezembozo. “Ngenkathi, ngokomlando, i-GDP yomuntu ngamunye yaseGuyana yayiphakathi kweziphansi kakhulu eNingizimu Melika, ukukhula komnotho okungavamile kusukela ngo-2020, okulinganiselwa ku-42.3% eminyakeni emithathu edlule, kulethe i-GDP yomuntu ngamunye ibe ngaphezu kuka-$18,199 ngo-2022, isuka ku-$6,477 ngo-2019,” kusho uMhlaba.
Imibiko yasebhange.
Abadlali abakhulu kakhulu bokupenda nokugqoka esifundeni esingaphansi, ngokusho kokusesha kwe-Google AI, bafaka:
• Abadlali Besifunda: I-Lanco Paints & Coatings, uBerger, uHarris, uLee Wind, uPenta, kanye noRoyal.
• Izinkampani Zamazwe Ngamazwe: i-PPG, i-Sherwin-Williams, i-Axalta, i-Benjamin Moore kanye ne-Comex.
• Ezinye izinkampani eziphawulekayo zifaka phakathi i-RM Lucas Co. kanye ne-Caribbean Paint Factory Aruba.
IVenezuela
IVenezuela ibilokhu iyizwe elihlukile kwezepolitiki eLatin America iminyaka eminingi, naphezu kwengcebo kawoyela negesi kuleli zwe, ngaphansi kokubusa kukaMengameli uNicolás Maduro. I-ECLAC ibikezela ukuthi umnotho uzokhula ngo-6.2% kulo nyaka, uma kuqhathaniswa no-3.1% ngo-2024.
Uhulumeni kaTrump ungase uphonsele inselelo leso sibikezelo sokukhula ngesimemezelo sasekupheleni kukaMashi sokuthi i-United States izobeka intela yokungenisa engu-25% kunoma yiliphi izwe elingenisa uwoyela waseVenezuela, okulinganiselwa ukuthi u-90% womnotho wezwe.
Isimemezelo sentela sifike ngemuva kokukhanselwa kwelayisensi yeChevron yokuthola nokukhiqiza uwoyela ezweni ngoMashi 4. “Uma lesi sinyathelo sidluliselwa kwezinye izinkampani – okuhlanganisa iRepsol yaseSpain, i-Eni yase-Italy, kanye neMaurel & Prom yaseFrance – umnotho waseVenezuela ungabhekana nokwehla okukhulu kokukhiqizwa kukawoyela ongahluziwe, ukwehla kokusatshalaliswa kukaphethiloli, imakethe yokushintshaniswa kwemali yangaphandle ebuthakathaka, ukwehla kwenani lamandla, kanye nokwenyuka kwamandla emali okwandayo,” kukhumbula iCaracas Chronicles.
Inhlangano yezindaba ikhuluma ngokulungiswa kwesimo sengqondo kwakamuva okuvela ku-Ecoanalítica, "ebikezela ukwehla okungu-2% kuya ku-3% ku-GDP ekupheleni kuka-2025, kanye nokwehla okungu-20% emkhakheni kawoyela." Abahlaziyi bayaqhubeka: "Zonke izimpawu zisikisela ukuthi u-2025 uzoba nzima nakakhulu kunalokho obekulindelwe ekuqaleni, kanye nokwehla okukhulu kwemikhiqizo yesikhashana kanye nokwehla kwemali engenayo kawoyela."
Phakathi kwabangenisi abaphambili bamafutha aseVenezuela kukhona iChina, eyathenga u-68% wamafutha athunyelwa yiVenezuela ngo-2023, ngokusho kokuhlaziywa kuka-2024 yi-US Energy Information Administration, kubika i-EuroNews. “ISpain, i-India, iRussia, iSingapore neVietnam nazo ziphakathi kwamazwe athola uwoyela eVenezuela, kusho umbiko,” kubika i-ejensi yezindaba.
“Kodwa ngisho ne-United States – naphezu kokujeziswa kwayo yiVenezuela – ithenga uwoyela kulelo zwe. NgoJanuwari, i-United States yangenisa imiphongolo kawoyela eyizigidi ezingu-8.6 evela eVenezuela, ngokusho kwe-Census Bureau, emiphongolweni ecishe ibe yizigidi ezingu-202 engeniswe kuleyo nyanga,” kusho i-EuroNews.
Ezweni lakithi, umnotho usagxile ekuthuthukisweni kwezindlu, okufanele kwandise isidingo sopende nezingubo zokuhlobisa ezakhiweni. NgoMeyi 2024, uhulumeni waseVenezuela wagubha iminyaka eyi-13 yohlelo lwakhe lwe-Great Housing Mission (GMVV), egubha ikhaya lezigidi ezingu-4.9 elinikezwe imindeni yabasebenzi, kubika iVenezuelanalysis. Lolu hlelo lunomgomo wokwakha izindlu eziyizigidi ezingu-7 ngo-2030.
Nakuba abatshalizimali baseNtshonalanga bengase babe namahloni ngokwanda kokuvezwa eVenezuela, amabhange amaningi asekela amaphrojekthi engqalasizinda, okuhlanganisa nebhange leNtuthuko laseLatin America kanye neCaribbean (CAF).
Isikhathi sokuthunyelwe: Meyi-08-2025
